Will Dissly has been a fantasy darling through the quarter mark of the 2019 season, but is he the real deal or a flash in the pan?
We’ll start with his college stats for a reference. Dissly didn’t garner any statistics in his freshman and sophomore years. His junior year he caught four passes for 47 yards and one touchdown. During his senior season, Dissly compiled a measly 21 catches for 289 yards and two touchdowns across ten games. This is about as anemic as one can get. But surely his athleticism at the combine was impressive? Sorry, but no. Dissly chugged along for a horrific 4.87 40-yard dash and barely lifted himself off of the ground with a 28 inch vertical. The Seahawks ended up drafting Disslywith the 20th pick in the 4th round of the 2018 draft. Dissly is large-sized at 6’4 and 260 pounds, but that is about all of the appeal he offers. And yet, incredulously, he has been quite productive in his short NFL career. Here are Dissly’s game logs in his career thus far(remember that in 2018, Dissly tore his patella tendon in week four):
(Catches / Yards / TDs)
1-5 (torn patella tendon)
Those lines are respectable, and there are certainly targets to go around in Seattle with Baldwin gone (though D.K. Metcalf will continue to soak up targets as well) and no consistent redzone option on the team. That being said, with Dissly’s abysmal college production and woeful athleticism, a regression to the mean is forthcoming. Will Dissly (pun intended) still pop off for an occasional touchdown here or there? Sure. Will he continue his ascension as a top 10 dynasty tight end? Absolutely not. The time to sell is now, especially after playing against a Cardinals secondary that essentially gifts tight ends with big games Greg Olsen (6-72-1) Mark Andrews (8-112-1) and T.J. Hockenson (6-131-1).
Dynasty Action Plan: To answer the article’s burning question: Will Dissly is a man you need to sell and sell hard. In 2 TE leagues, Dissly should be able to fetch you a 2020 first. Even if you are a contender, this production will not last. In standard leagues, Dissly hopefully is not your starting tight end. I would comb the league Tuesday morning and check out the teams that are 2-2, 3-1, or 4-0 to see what their tight end situation is. If you’re lucky and find a team with a shortage of tight end viability, strike with a 2020 second and Dissly for their 2020 first, but be open to ultimately selling Disslyfor a 2020 second and a 2020 third. I would also scan the market to see if Noah Fant can be had; Dissly and a 2020 second would be a fair offer. Whatever you do, find a way to offload Dissly as soon as you can, because the good times are coming to an end as the sample size increases.